Get all the news from Country Radio stations all over the US. See their newsletters, what prized they're giving away and then a bunch of news.
Welcome to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we're monitoring today:
Hope[ium]?
Axios is reporting that the U.S. is "in deep negotiations" with Iran on a potential 45-day ceasefire ahead of Trump's deadline of 8pm EST on Tuesday night. April ceasefire odds moved 18% -> 28% on the news.
Quick Links
Hormuz
Ceasefire or no, Polymarket traders are pricing in week-over-week increases in Hormuz transits.
The final showdown
The 2026 NCAA championship is tonight. Michigan is a 74% favorite to beat UConn, but something's gotta give: Michigan will either have one of the largest tourney PPG margins of any champ ever (currently +21.6) or UConn will win its third title in four years.
Aenews2
Is this who the orange cat was referring to? One of Polymarket's top geopolitical traders is heavily on YES for an April ceasefire.
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?
Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?
What will be the top global Netflix show this week?
"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Eurovision Winner 2026
Who will Trump talk to in March?
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here.
