Iran deal within reach?

August 3rd, 2026 Unsubscribe Welcome back to your daily briefing from the Polymarket front lines. What’s moving today: Top News Iran talks resume Trump says U.S.-Iran negotiations will restart today, with a Strait of Hormuz agreement reportedly within reach. Traders are pricing when the next formal round of peace talks will begin. Check odds → ​ Quick Links Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...? → Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? → Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks? → Michigan’s left turn Michigan Democrats vote Tuesday in a nationally watched clash between progressive Abdul El-Sayed & centrist Rep. Haley Stevens. After a dramatic late surge, markets now price El-Sayed at 98% to capture the open-seat Senate nomination. Check odds → ​ Quick Links Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory → Michigan Senate Election Winner → Trump backs the yen Trump says the U.S. is supporting Japan’s currency as pressure builds around the exchange rate. Traders are now pricing how far USD/JPY could move before the end of 2026. Check odds → ​ Quick Links Will Trump visit Japan in 2026? → Back to School A judge just granted an injunction allowing Class of 2022 athletes to pursue a fifth year of eligibility, setting off a last-minute scramble in the odds a few weeks before the season. CFB National Champ odds → ​ Breaking News Odds Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31? View market → 99% +61% Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? View market → 27% -37% IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? View market → 33% -20% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner 12h See all Ending Soon → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? $1.47M Fed Decision in September? $950.6K Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...? $948.1K Presidential Election Winner 2028 $609.3K See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges 7d $605.8K PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner 16h $187.9K Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 88d $420.5K See all Top Sports → ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive ​ Trading Disclaimers Polymarket U.S. (iOS app) 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization. Polymarket International (DeFi) Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See https://polymarket.com/tos for more information. If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 228 Park Ave S, PMB 750480 New York, NY 10003-1502 U.S.