Schrodinger's Ayatollah

March 4th, 2026 Unsubscribe Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're monitoring today: Top News Schrodinger's Ayatollah Media reports emerged yesterday that Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Iran's former Supreme Leader, had been selected to succeed him. But within hours, other accounts suggested this was premature, or active disinformation, causing Mojtaba odds to plummet from the mid 80s. He's still the front runner but far from a sure thing. Read more → Blexas Denied? James Talrico handily won the Texas Democratic Senate primary last night, leading current tallies over Jasmine Crockett by 7-8%. But does the market see him as less electable? Odds for Democrats to flip the Texas Senate blue are down ~5% on the news. Read more → ​ Wallet Watch Yolo-kin On the Republican side, Texas's long‑serving Senator John Cornyn overperformed against the state's MAGA attorney general, Ken Paxton. They are headed for a runoff on May 26 since neither cleared 50%. @Yalokin is the largest single Cornyn "Yes" holder. He's already up 80%, and will turn $8,000 into $32,522 if Cornyn wins in May. View Wallet → ​ Breaking News Odds Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $710b on March 31? View market → 22% -1% Anduril IPO before 2027? View market → 33% +6% Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? View market → 45% +5% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Next Prime Minister of Nepal 12h Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? 2d Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7? 2d See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed What will be the top US Netflix show this week? 12h ago AWS service disrupted by March 31? 13h ago What will be the top global Netflix show this week? 12h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Presidential Election Winner 2028 $4.79M Fed decision in March? $3.78M Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? $2.46M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC 8h English Premier League Winner 83d NBA MVP 97d See all Top Sports → ​ ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive Last Word "There Isn't Going to Be Another Supreme Leader" We monitor the Iran situation with a team of competitive forecasters. Read more → ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 228 Park Ave S, PMB 750480 New York, NY 10003-1502 U.S.