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Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. Forwarded this email? Click here to subscribe. What's cooking today:
Doom loop?
With Hormuz shut and U.S. stocks at all-time-highs, some doomers think it's just a matter of time before soaring inflation and rising bond yields deflate asset prices. Will anything stop this train?
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Mystery blast
Authorities say a "controlled explosion" was responsible for a massive mushroom cloud near an Israeli base yesterday. Yet odds for an Israeli airspace closure continue to inch higher.
Robot slaves
Polymarket traders are confident that Figure AI's humanoid robot will be able to sort packages for 200+ hours without food or water.
Pivot
RN1, one of Polymarket's most watched wallets, racked up nearly $9m in lifetime PnL on soccer trades. But their biggest positions today are esports.
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Which company has the best AI model end of May?
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs
2026 NBA Champion
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan
NBA MVP
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